Tuesday, May 27, 2008

Funny, That...

Clinton will do very well on Super Tuesday; polls will tighten along the way, but that's to be expected.I've been thinking about the delegate fight and I just don't think it's all that likely that we're going to drag this all the way to the convention. It's quite possible we won't know who the nominee will be until March but, by that point, one nominee will be ahead in the count and the superdelegates, I think, will begin to align rather firmly by then. Something else that can't be discounted is perception; the candidate who will lead in delegates by March will look like a winner and, assuming Clinton will be that candidate, the fact that she will have won most of the large states along the way, thereby giving her a clear advantage with the popular vote, will count for a lot. The same would be true for Obama. I suppose it's possible we'll get to Denver without a nominee, but it's not at all likely, especially since one must assume the DNC will want to get there united behind a single candidate and not still fighting.

---Grey 01.28.2008 - 09:48 am

So, according to Grey, the candidate that lead in delegates in March will be the winner.

Funny when delegates and rules mattered.

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